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Mike Kelly

Mike Kelly

Republican · Pennsylvania · Representative
Republican congressman from Pennsylvania's 16th district, 14-year House veteran on Ways and Means, with 29 lifetime trades and $1.49M trade volume over 5 years.
Trades 5y
29
Volume 5y
$1.0M
Bills sponsored
28
Bills enacted

Corruption Risk · 4-Vector Breakdown

Corruption isn't just trade-based. Here's the four ways political pressure can flow, scored independently from the public record.

📈 Vector 1 · Personal Enrichment trade-based
The politician's trading is sector-concentrated with extremely low volume, dominated by sales (24 sales vs. 5 purchases) suggesting a slow liquidation posture rather than active accumulation. The telecom sector shows a 100% win rate over 4 trades with a 3.14% avg return, but this is not an anomaly due to low trade count (<50). Overall win rate is 50% with an average excess return of -39.2% per `get_sponsor_profile.profile.trading_style`, indicating poor timing or passive management. Trades are concentrated in two primary tickers (X and INTC) with 100% top-5 concentration.
Trades 5y29
Volume$1.0M
Late filing
Trader typeMinimal activity
💵 Vector 2 · Donor Funding money in
PAC contributions dominate fundraising, with corporate_other PACs providing 38.1% of total PAC direct dollars ($9.31M) per `get_donor_industry_breakdown.top_industries[0]`. Individual donor counts have declined each cycle from 664 in 2018 to 81 in 2026, indicating weakening grassroots support. The industry capture signal is 'strong' per `get_sponsor_profile.profile.industry_capture_signal`.
PAC raised$24.5M
Individual
🏛 Vector 3 · Committee Pressure lobbying around
Corporate_other PACs dominate with $9.31M (38.1% of total) per `get_donor_industry_breakdown.top_industries[0]`, and energy/oil/gas is a top PAC industry per `get_sponsor_profile.profile.top_pac_industries`.
steel/manufacturing
Ways and Means member trades X (steel) with 100% lobbying alignment per `get_sponsor_profile.profile.lobbying_to_committee_alignment_score`
↳ committee jurisdiction + trading
Top influence channels
PAC funding corporate_other PACs $24.5M
committee jurisdiction lobbying clients targeting Ways and Means $965K
12 MONTHS PAST · 3 MONTHS FUTURE

Activity timeline · 29 votes (12mo) · 28 on passage · 100% with party on passage votes

740 VOTES/WK Week of 2026-04-20 · 3 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 3 present) Week of 2026-04-13 · 1 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 1 present) Week of 2026-02-09 · 2 votes (2 with party · 0 against · 0 present) Week of 2026-02-02 · 1 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 1 present) Week of 2025-12-15 · 7 votes (3 with party · 0 against · 4 present) Week of 2025-12-08 · 3 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 3 present) Week of 2025-12-01 · 1 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 1 present) Week of 2025-11-17 · 3 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 3 present) Week of 2025-07-14 · 2 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 2 present) Week of 2025-06-23 · 1 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 1 present) Week of 2025-06-09 · 1 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 1 present) Week of 2025-06-02 · 1 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 1 present) Week of 2025-05-19 · 3 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 3 present) JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan '26FebMarAprMayJunJulAug TODAY VOTES 24 TRADES 9 SPONSORED 0 PREDICTIONS 18 BILL PIPELINE 0 HR.2493 · YEA · · 2026-04-21 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassS.1020 · YEA · · 2026-04-21 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.1681 · YEA · · 2026-04-20 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.1689 · NAY · · 2026-04-16 · On PassageHR.261 · YEA · with party · 2026-02-11 · On PassageHR.980 · YEA · · 2026-02-02 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.498 · YEA · with party · 2025-12-18 · On PassageHR.845 · YEA · · 2025-12-18 · On PassageHR.1366 · YEA · · 2025-12-18 · On PassageS.284 · YEA · with party · 2025-12-15 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassS.1071 · YEA · · 2025-12-10 · On PassageS.356 · YEA · · 2025-12-09 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.1005 · NOT_VOTING · · 2025-12-03 · On PassageHR.1949 · YEA · · 2025-11-20 · On PassageHR.2659 · YEA · · 2025-11-17 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.1608 · YEA · · 2025-11-17 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.1709 · YEA · · 2025-07-14 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.1770 · YEA · · 2025-07-14 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.875 · YEA · · 2025-06-26 · On PassageHR.884 · YEA · · 2025-06-10 · On PassageHR.2483 · YEA · · 2025-06-04 · On PassageSJRES.31 · YEA · · 2025-05-22 · On PassageSJRES.13 · YEA · · 2025-05-20 · On PassageHR.1286 · NOT_VOTING · · 2025-05-19 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as Amende Purchase MARYLAND ST DEPT OF · 2025-10-21 · $75KSale (Full) INDIANA ST FIN AUTH · 2025-10-17 · $75KSale (Partial) SEATTLE WA MUNI LIGH · 2025-10-17 · $33KSale X · 2025-06-20 · $33Ksale X · 2025-06-20 · $33Ksale HLMEX · 2025-06-18 · $175KSale HLMEX · 2025-06-18 · $175KPurchase X · 2025-06-03 · $33Kpurchase X · 2025-06-03 · $33K Prediction: BA ↑ · C · conf 33.6 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: GD ↑ · C · conf 33.6 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: BA ↑ · C · conf 33.6 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: GD ↑ · C · conf 33.6 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: LLY ↑ · C · conf 32.79 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: KVUE ↑ · C · conf 32.79 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: LLY ↑ · C · conf 32.79 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: KVUE ↑ · C · conf 32.79 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: LEN ↑ · D · conf 19.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: ULTA ↑ · D · conf 19.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: MSFT ↑ · D · conf 19.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: MBB ↑ · D · conf 19.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: MGA ↑ · D · conf 19.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: ULTA ↑ · D · conf 19.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: MBB ↑ · D · conf 19.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: MGA ↑ · D · conf 19.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: LEN ↑ · D · conf 19.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: MSFT ↑ · D · conf 19.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15
Votes/wk (top band)
with party against party present / unknown
Vote markers (passage only)
yea (with party) nay (with party) against party
Trades
buy sell
Bills sponsored
introduced
Predictions / pipeline
model fire committee bill
🔮 GOVGREED FORECAST · 30-DAY WINDOW

Predicted next trades · 18 active

C BA ↑ bullish 33.6 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence
C GD ↑ bullish 33.6 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence
C BA ↑ bullish 33.6 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence
C GD ↑ bullish 33.6 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence
C LLY ↑ bullish 32.8 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence

Recent Activity

2025-10-21 MARYLAND ST DEPT OF Purchase $75K
2025-10-17 INDIANA ST FIN AUTH Sale (Full) $75K
2025-10-17 SEATTLE WA MUNI LIGH Sale (Partial) $33K
2025-06-20 X Sale $33K 19d
2025-06-20 X sale $33K 19d
2025-06-18 HLMEX sale $175K 21d
2025-06-18 HLMEX Sale $175K 21d
2025-06-03 X Purchase $33K 36d
2025-06-03 X purchase $33K 36d
2024-11-08 UNP sale $33K 34d

Voting Pattern

Voted yea on 59 of 75 total votes (78.7% yea rate) with 100% attendance per `get_voting_record`. Recent high-profile votes include yea on HR.2493 and S.1020, and nay on HR.1689 passage.
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Data from STOCK Act disclosures, FEC filings, Senate LDA reports, and Congress.gov · all publicly filed federal records. Multi-vector analysis is GovGreed-original derivation. Not financial advice. Not affiliated with the U.S. Government. [live render]