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Mike Kelly

Mike Kelly: Stock Trades & Portfolio

Republican · Pennsylvania · Representative
Republican congressman from Pennsylvania's 16th district, 14-year House veteran on Ways and Means, with 29 lifetime trades and $1.49M trade volume over 5 years.
Trade figures: historical_trades_dedup, trades dated 2021-09-14 → 2026-09-14. Congress discloses bands, never exact amounts.

Corruption Risk · 4-Vector Breakdown

Corruption isn't just trade-based. Here's the four ways political pressure can flow, scored independently from the public record.

📈 Vector 1 · Personal Enrichment trade-based
The politician's trading is sector-concentrated with extremely low volume, dominated by sales (24 sales vs. 5 purchases) suggesting a slow liquidation posture rather than active accumulation. The telecom sector shows a 100% win rate over 4 trades with a 3.14% avg return, but this is not an anomaly due to low trade count (<50). Overall win rate is 50% with an average excess return of -39.2% per `get_sponsor_profile.profile.trading_style`, indicating poor timing or passive management. Trades are concentrated in two primary tickers (X and INTC) with 100% top-5 concentration.
Trades 5y21
Buys / sells3 / 18
Volume 5y$683K
Late filing61.5%
Trader typeMinimal activity
Narrative from model run 2026-04-30; figures in the stat row are live (deduplicated, 5y).
💵 Vector 2 · Donor Funding money in
PAC contributions dominate fundraising, with corporate_other PACs providing 38.1% of total PAC direct dollars ($9.31M) per `get_donor_industry_breakdown.top_industries[0]`. Individual donor counts have declined each cycle from 664 in 2018 to 81 in 2026, indicating weakening grassroots support. The industry capture signal is 'strong' per `get_sponsor_profile.profile.industry_capture_signal`.
Direct PAC$5.8M
Outside $ for$236K
Outside $ against$75K
Cycles5
FEC PAC + independent-expenditure files, all cycles on record, never summed across direction. By cycle and industry →
🏛 Vector 3 · Committee Pressure lobbying around
Corporate_other PACs dominate with $9.31M (38.1% of total) per `get_donor_industry_breakdown.top_industries[0]`, and energy/oil/gas is a top PAC industry per `get_sponsor_profile.profile.top_pac_industries`.
steel/manufacturing
Ways and Means member trades X (steel) with 100% lobbying alignment per `get_sponsor_profile.profile.lobbying_to_committee_alignment_score`
↳ committee jurisdiction + trading
Top influence channels
PAC funding corporate_other PACs $24.5M
committee jurisdiction lobbying clients targeting Ways and Means $965K
Committees1
Carve-outs on traded tickers0
Narrative from model run 2026-04-30. Jurisdiction vs. trades, committee by committee →

Recent Stock Trades · 5 oldest visible · 5 most recent 🔒 for Members

2026-07-17 PEP Sale $33K
2026-07-17 ABT Sale $8K
2026-07-17 DIS Sale $8K
2026-05-07 CMCSA Sale $8K
2026-05-07 BMY Sale $33K
2025-10-21 MARYLAND ST DEPT OF Purchase $75K
2025-10-17 INDIANA ST FIN AUTH Sale (Full) $75K
2025-10-17 SEATTLE WA MUNI LIGH Sale (Partial) $33K
2025-06-20 X Sale $33K 19d
2025-06-18 HLMEX Sale $175K 21d
All 21 disclosed trades →
🔮 GOVGREED FORECAST · 30-DAY WINDOW

Predicted next trades · 13 active · all →

↓ free sample below · 12 more for Members
C BA ↑ bullish 41.1 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence HR.658 · To amend title 38, United States Code, to establish qualifications for… · scored 2026-09-12
C GD ↑ bullish 41.1 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence HR.658 · To amend title 38, United States Code, to establish qualifications for… · scored 2026-09-12
C CVS ↑ bullish 41.1 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence HR.658 · To amend title 38, United States Code, to establish qualifications for… · scored 2026-09-12
C LLY ↑ bullish 41.1 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence HR.658 · To amend title 38, United States Code, to establish qualifications for… · scored 2026-09-12
C DLTR ↑ bullish 36.6 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence HR.2493 · Improving Care in Rural America Reauthorization Act of 2025 · scored 2026-09-12

Voting Pattern

Voted yea on 59 of 75 total votes (78.7% yea rate) with 100% attendance per `get_voting_record`. Recent high-profile votes include yea on HR.2493 and S.1020, and nay on HR.1689 passage.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many stock trades has Mike Kelly made?

Mike Kelly (R-PA) has 21 deduplicated STOCK Act disclosures over the last five years, totaling $683K in disclosed trading volume at band midpoints. Congress discloses dollar bands, never exact amounts. The trade-by-trade record on this page updates daily from House Clerk and Senate eFD filings.

Does Mike Kelly trade stocks?

Yes — the public record shows 21 STOCK Act filings in the last five years. Whether any specific trade relates to committee work is a separate question: GovGreed cross-references each filing against committee assignments, bill activity, and donor records, and reports the overlaps without alleging wrongdoing.

Has Mike Kelly filed STOCK Act disclosures late?

Mike Kelly's late-filing rate over the last five years is 61.5% of disclosures filed past the STOCK Act's 45-day deadline. Across all of Congress, 12.1% of deduplicated filings arrive late, and the median filing takes 28 days. The statutory penalty for a late filing is $200.

How can I track Mike Kelly's stock trades?

GovGreed ingests House Clerk STOCK Act filings daily and scores each trade against committee assignments, bill activity, and donor patterns. This page updates automatically; GovGreed members get real-time alerts the moment a new Mike Kelly disclosure lands.

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Data from STOCK Act disclosures, FEC filings, Senate LDA reports, Personal Financial Disclosures and Congress.gov · all publicly filed federal records. Multi-vector analysis is GovGreed-original derivation. Not financial advice. Not affiliated with the U.S. Government. [live render · overview]