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Mike Kelly

Mike Kelly

Republican · Pennsylvania · Representative
Republican congressman from Pennsylvania's 16th district, 14-year House veteran on Ways and Means, with 29 lifetime trades and $1.49M trade volume over 5 years.
Trades 5y
31
Volume 5y
$1.0M
Bills sponsored
33
Bills enacted

Corruption Risk · 4-Vector Breakdown

Corruption isn't just trade-based. Here's the four ways political pressure can flow, scored independently from the public record.

📈 Vector 1 · Personal Enrichment trade-based
The politician's trading is sector-concentrated with extremely low volume, dominated by sales (24 sales vs. 5 purchases) suggesting a slow liquidation posture rather than active accumulation. The telecom sector shows a 100% win rate over 4 trades with a 3.14% avg return, but this is not an anomaly due to low trade count (<50). Overall win rate is 50% with an average excess return of -39.2% per `get_sponsor_profile.profile.trading_style`, indicating poor timing or passive management. Trades are concentrated in two primary tickers (X and INTC) with 100% top-5 concentration.
Trades 5y31
Volume$1.0M
Late filing
Trader typeMinimal activity
💵 Vector 2 · Donor Funding money in
PAC contributions dominate fundraising, with corporate_other PACs providing 38.1% of total PAC direct dollars ($9.31M) per `get_donor_industry_breakdown.top_industries[0]`. Individual donor counts have declined each cycle from 664 in 2018 to 81 in 2026, indicating weakening grassroots support. The industry capture signal is 'strong' per `get_sponsor_profile.profile.industry_capture_signal`.
PAC raised$24.5M
Individual
🏛 Vector 3 · Committee Pressure lobbying around
Corporate_other PACs dominate with $9.31M (38.1% of total) per `get_donor_industry_breakdown.top_industries[0]`, and energy/oil/gas is a top PAC industry per `get_sponsor_profile.profile.top_pac_industries`.
steel/manufacturing
Ways and Means member trades X (steel) with 100% lobbying alignment per `get_sponsor_profile.profile.lobbying_to_committee_alignment_score`
↳ committee jurisdiction + trading
Top influence channels
PAC funding corporate_other PACs $24.5M
committee jurisdiction lobbying clients targeting Ways and Means $965K
12 MONTHS PAST · 3 MONTHS FUTURE

Activity timeline · 357 votes (12mo) · 200 on passage · 100% with party on passage votes

25130 VOTES/WK Week of 2026-06-29 · 2 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 2 present) Week of 2026-06-22 · 5 votes (3 with party · 0 against · 2 present) Week of 2026-06-08 · 15 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 15 present) Week of 2026-06-01 · 16 votes (1 with party · 0 against · 15 present) Week of 2026-05-18 · 16 votes (3 with party · 0 against · 13 present) Week of 2026-05-11 · 20 votes (3 with party · 0 against · 17 present) Week of 2026-04-27 · 18 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 18 present) Week of 2026-04-20 · 13 votes (3 with party · 0 against · 10 present) Week of 2026-04-13 · 16 votes (2 with party · 0 against · 14 present) Week of 2026-03-23 · 11 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 11 present) Week of 2026-03-16 · 9 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 9 present) Week of 2026-03-02 · 9 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 9 present) Week of 2026-02-23 · 8 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 8 present) Week of 2026-02-09 · 14 votes (3 with party · 0 against · 11 present) Week of 2026-02-02 · 8 votes (1 with party · 0 against · 7 present) Week of 2026-01-19 · 17 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 17 present) Week of 2026-01-12 · 19 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 19 present) Week of 2026-01-05 · 11 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 11 present) Week of 2025-12-15 · 22 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 22 present) Week of 2025-12-08 · 17 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 17 present) Week of 2025-12-01 · 8 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 8 present) Week of 2025-11-17 · 18 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 18 present) Week of 2025-11-10 · 3 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 3 present) Week of 2025-09-15 · 16 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 16 present) Week of 2025-09-08 · 25 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 25 present) Week of 2025-09-01 · 21 votes (2 with party · 1 against · 18 present) AugSepOctNovDecJan '26FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct TODAY VOTES 154 TRADES 5 SPONSORED 2 PREDICTIONS 24 BILL PIPELINE 0 HR.7757 · YEA · · 2026-06-29 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.7128 · YEA · · 2026-06-29 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.2478 · YEA · with party · 2026-06-25 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.7401 · YEA · · 2026-06-24 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.915 · YEA · with party · 2026-06-24 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeS.629 · YEA · with party · 2026-06-23 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.9238 · YEA · · 2026-06-11 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.7892 · YEA · · 2026-06-10 · On PassageHR.8312 · YEA · · 2026-06-10 · On PassageHR.8464 · YEA · · 2026-06-10 · On PassageS.2 · YEA · · 2026-06-09 · On PassageHR.5408 · NAY · · 2026-06-09 · On PassageHR.8466 · YEA · · 2026-06-08 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.8428 · YEA · · 2026-06-08 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.8646 · YEA · · 2026-06-04 · On PassageHR.2913 · NAY · · 2026-06-04 · On PassageHR.7618 · YEA · · 2026-06-03 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeS.254 · YEA · · 2026-06-03 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.2860 · YEA · with party · 2026-06-03 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.7726 · YEA · · 2026-06-03 · On PassageHR.1329 · YEA · · 2026-05-21 · On PassageHR.1041 · YEA · with party · 2026-05-21 · On PassageHR.6047 · YEA · · 2026-05-21 · On PassageHR.3234 · YEA · · 2026-05-20 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.4544 · YEA · · 2026-05-20 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.5317 · YEA · · 2026-05-20 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeS.2393 · YEA · · 2026-05-20 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassS.1003 · YEA · · 2026-05-20 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.1993 · YEA · with party · 2026-05-20 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.2616 · YEA · · 2026-05-20 · On PassageHR.8469 · YEA · · 2026-05-15 · On PassageHR.6260 · YEA · · 2026-05-14 · On PassageHR.5625 · YEA · · 2026-05-14 · On PassageHR.8365 · YEA · · 2026-05-14 · On PassageHR.1346 · YEA · with party · 2026-05-13 · On PassageHR.2071 · YEA · · 2026-05-12 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.2853 · YEA · with party · 2026-05-12 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.7567 · YEA · · 2026-04-30 · On PassageS.4465 · YEA · · 2026-04-30 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassS.1318 · YEA · · 2026-04-29 · On PassageHR.7959 · YEA · · 2026-04-27 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.227 · YEA · · 2026-04-27 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.5587 · YEA · · 2026-04-23 · On PassageHR.4690 · YEA · · 2026-04-22 · On PassageHR.6387 · YEA · · 2026-04-22 · On PassageHR.5201 · YEA · · 2026-04-21 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.2493 · YEA · with party · 2026-04-21 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassS.1020 · YEA · with party · 2026-04-21 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.1681 · YEA · with party · 2026-04-20 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.5200 · YEA · · 2026-04-20 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.6409 · YEA · · 2026-04-16 · On PassageHR.6398 · YEA · · 2026-04-16 · On PassageHR.1689 · NAY · with party · 2026-04-16 · On PassageHR.1011 · YEA · with party · 2026-04-14 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.7613 · YEA · · 2026-04-14 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.7084 · YEA · · 2026-03-27 · On PassageHR.8029 · YEA · · 2026-03-26 · On PassageHR.5103 · YEA · · 2026-03-25 · On PassageHR.6422 · YEA · · 2026-03-24 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.4638 · YEA · · 2026-03-19 · On PassageHR.556 · YEA · · 2026-03-18 · On PassageHR.1958 · YEA · · 2026-03-18 · On PassageHJRES.139 · YEA · · 2026-03-18 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.4294 · YEA · · 2026-03-17 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeS.3971 · YEA · · 2026-03-17 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.7744 · YEA · · 2026-03-05 · On PassageS.723 · YEA · · 2026-03-04 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.6472 · YEA · · 2026-03-04 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.4758 · YEA · · 2026-02-25 · On PassageHR.6329 · YEA · · 2026-02-24 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.4626 · YEA · · 2026-02-24 · On PassageS.2503 · NAY · · 2026-02-24 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.2189 · YEA · · 2026-02-12 · On PassageHR.3617 · YEA · · 2026-02-11 · On PassageHR.261 · YEA · with party · 2026-02-11 · On PassageS.1383 · YEA · · 2026-02-11 · On PassageHJRES.72 · NAY · with party · 2026-02-11 · On PassageHR.6644 · YEA · · 2026-02-09 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.1531 · YEA · · 2026-02-09 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.4090 · YEA · · 2026-02-04 · On PassageHJRES.142 · YEA · · 2026-02-04 · On PassageHR.980 · YEA · with party · 2026-02-02 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.3123 · YEA · · 2026-02-02 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.7147 · YEA · · 2026-01-22 · On PassageHR.7148 · YEA · · 2026-01-22 · On PassageHR.6359 · YEA · · 2026-01-22 · On PassageHR.6945 · YEA · · 2026-01-21 · On PassageHJRES.140 · YEA · · 2026-01-21 · On PassageHR.5763 · YEA · · 2026-01-20 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.5764 · YEA · · 2026-01-20 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.2988 · YEA · · 2026-01-15 · On PassageHR.7006 · YEA · · 2026-01-14 · On PassageHR.2262 · YEA · · 2026-01-13 · On PassageHR.4593 · YEA · · 2026-01-13 · On PassageHR.2683 · YEA · · 2026-01-12 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.6500 · YEA · · 2026-01-12 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.6504 · YEA · · 2026-01-12 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.5184 · YEA · · 2026-01-09 · On PassageHR.6938 · YEA · · 2026-01-08 · On PassageHR.504 · NAY · · 2026-01-08 · Passage, Objections of the President To The ContraHR.131 · NAY · · 2026-01-08 · Passage, Objections of the President To The ContraHR.1834 · NAY · · 2026-01-08 · On PassageHR.1366 · YEA · · 2025-12-18 · On PassageHR.845 · YEA · · 2025-12-18 · On PassageHR.498 · YEA · · 2025-12-18 · On PassageHR.3616 · YEA · · 2025-12-17 · On PassageHR.6703 · YEA · · 2025-12-17 · On PassageHR.3492 · YEA · · 2025-12-17 · On PassageHR.4371 · YEA · · 2025-12-16 · On PassageHR.3632 · YEA · · 2025-12-16 · On PassageS.284 · YEA · · 2025-12-15 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.3187 · YEA · · 2025-12-15 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.3668 · YEA · · 2025-12-12 · On PassageHR.3638 · YEA · · 2025-12-11 · On PassageHR.3383 · YEA · · 2025-12-11 · On PassageHR.3898 · YEA · · 2025-12-11 · On PassageHR.2550 · NAY · · 2025-12-11 · On PassageS.1071 · YEA · · 2025-12-10 · On PassageS.356 · YEA · · 2025-12-09 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.1676 · YEA · · 2025-12-09 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.1069 · YEA · · 2025-12-04 · On PassageHR.1049 · YEA · · 2025-12-04 · On PassageHR.4305 · NOT_VOTING · · 2025-12-03 · On PassageHR.1005 · NOT_VOTING · · 2025-12-03 · On PassageHR.5348 · YEA · · 2025-12-01 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.4423 · YEA · · 2025-12-01 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.1949 · YEA · · 2025-11-20 · On PassageHR.5214 · YEA · · 2025-11-19 · On PassageHR.5107 · YEA · · 2025-11-19 · On PassageHR.4058 · YEA · · 2025-11-19 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.4405 · YEA · · 2025-11-18 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHJRES.130 · YEA · · 2025-11-18 · On PassageHJRES.131 · YEA · · 2025-11-18 · On PassageSJRES.80 · YEA · · 2025-11-18 · On PassageHR.1608 · YEA · · 2025-11-17 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.2659 · YEA · · 2025-11-17 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.5371 · YEA · · 2025-09-19 · On PassageHR.1047 · YEA · · 2025-09-18 · On PassageHR.5125 · YEA · · 2025-09-17 · On PassageHR.5143 · YEA · · 2025-09-17 · On PassageHR.2721 · YEA · · 2025-09-16 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.4922 · YEA · · 2025-09-16 · On PassageHR.5140 · YEA · · 2025-09-16 · On PassageHR.3400 · YEA · · 2025-09-15 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.3486 · YEA · · 2025-09-11 · On PassageHR.3838 · YEA · · 2025-09-10 · On PassageHR.3424 · YEA · · 2025-09-08 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.3425 · YEA · · 2025-09-08 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.4553 · YEA · · 2025-09-04 · On PassageHJRES.104 · YEA · · 2025-09-03 · On PassageHJRES.106 · YEA · · 2025-09-03 · On PassageHJRES.105 · YEA · with party · 2025-09-03 · On PassageHR.4216 · YEA · · 2025-09-02 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.747 · YEA · · 2025-09-02 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as Amende Sale BMY · 2026-05-07 · $33KSale CMCSA · 2026-05-07 · $8KPurchase MARYLAND ST DEPT OF · 2025-10-21 · $75KSale (Full) INDIANA ST FIN AUTH · 2025-10-17 · $75KSale (Partial) SEATTLE WA MUNI LIGH · 2025-10-17 · $33K Sponsored: HR.9098 · Congressional Records Protection Act · MARKUPSponsored: HR.3514 · Improving Seniors’ Timely Access to Care Act of 2025 · MARKUP Prediction: GD ↑ · C · conf 33.98 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-25Prediction: BA ↑ · C · conf 33.98 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-25Prediction: BA ↑ · C · conf 33.95 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-27Prediction: GD ↑ · C · conf 33.95 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-27Prediction: ARE ↑ · C · conf 32.79 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-25Prediction: LLY ↑ · C · conf 32.79 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-27Prediction: LLY ↑ · C · conf 32.79 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-25Prediction: KVUE ↑ · C · conf 32.79 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-27Prediction: AAPL ↑ · C · conf 29.23 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-25Prediction: INTU ↑ · C · conf 29.22 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-27Prediction: KO ↑ · D · conf 26.22 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-25Prediction: CMCSA ↑ · D · conf 26.22 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-25Prediction: DLTR ↑ · D · conf 26.22 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-25Prediction: DLTR ↑ · D · conf 26.22 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-27Prediction: COST ↑ · D · conf 26.22 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-27Prediction: OMC ↑ · D · conf 26.22 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-27Prediction: ARLP ↑ · D · conf 20.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-27Prediction: ARLP ↑ · D · conf 20.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-25Prediction: LEN ↑ · D · conf 19.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-25Prediction: MGA ↑ · D · conf 19.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-27Prediction: MGA ↑ · D · conf 19.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-25Prediction: LEN ↑ · D · conf 19.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-27Prediction: AGZ ↑ · D · conf 19.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-25Prediction: CMBS ↑ · D · conf 19.58 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-07-27
Votes/wk (top band)
with party against party present / unknown
Vote markers (passage only)
yea (with party) nay (with party) against party
Trades
buy sell
Bills sponsored
introduced
Predictions / pipeline
model fire committee bill
🔮 GOVGREED FORECAST · 30-DAY WINDOW

Predicted next trades · 24 active

C GD ↑ bullish 34.0 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence
C BA ↑ bullish 34.0 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence
C BA ↑ bullish 34.0 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence
C GD ↑ bullish 34.0 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence
C ARE ↑ bullish 32.8 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence

Recent Activity

2026-05-07 BMY Sale $33K
2026-05-07 CMCSA Sale $8K
2025-10-21 MARYLAND ST DEPT OF Purchase $75K
2025-10-17 INDIANA ST FIN AUTH Sale (Full) $75K
2025-10-17 SEATTLE WA MUNI LIGH Sale (Partial) $33K
2025-06-20 X Sale $33K 19d
2025-06-20 X sale $33K 19d
2025-06-18 HLMEX Sale $175K 21d
2025-06-18 HLMEX sale $175K 21d
2025-06-03 X Purchase $33K 36d

Voting Pattern

Voted yea on 59 of 75 total votes (78.7% yea rate) with 100% attendance per `get_voting_record`. Recent high-profile votes include yea on HR.2493 and S.1020, and nay on HR.1689 passage.
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Data from STOCK Act disclosures, FEC filings, Senate LDA reports, and Congress.gov · all publicly filed federal records. Multi-vector analysis is GovGreed-original derivation. Not financial advice. Not affiliated with the U.S. Government. [live render]