Congress Trading

Risk Watch · Politicians ranked by AI-derived corruption risk score. The model considers donor concentration, lobbying alignment with committee jurisdiction, late filing rate, family trade volume, and committee-sector trade overlap. Click a row to open the politician's profile.

Forecasts · LLM-generated forward-looking trade forecasts per politician. Each forecast includes a target ticker, direction, confidence, catalyst event (often an upcoming committee markup or bill action), and historical precedent. Forecasts have a window end date — past that, they're considered missed.

Conflicts · Composite ethics ranking from politician_conflict_scores. The score blends late filing rate, committee-sector trade alignment, donor-vote alignment, and voted-while-holding patterns. Each sub-score is 0–20; the composite is 0–100.

Repeat Offenders · Politicians who repeatedly buy a stock before a committee markup or bill action involving that ticker's sector. Each instance is a "prescient trade" — landed within 30 days before a related action. The pattern across many trades is the signal.