AGO

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Sector: financial servicesInsurance - SpecialtyNYSEMarket Cap: $4.08B

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) is a financial guarantor of municipal bonds and structured finance obligations, with zero observable federal contracts, lobbying spend, political donations, or congressional trading activity.

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Govt Dependence

0/100

Regulatory Density

85/100

Lobbying Intensity

0/100

Political Signal

NEUTRAL

BusinessWhat AGO does

Assured Guaranty Ltd. provides financial guarantee insurance for public finance and structured finance obligations, primarily in the U.S. municipal bond market. Its business model involves underwriting insurance policies that guarantee the timely payment of principal and interest on bonds and other debt instruments in the event of issuer default. Revenue is generated from premiums earned on these insurance policies.

12 months past · 3 months futureAGO activity timeline

Congress

buy sell

Insider · Form 4

open-market buy

Hedge fund · 13F

opened + added − trimmed closed holds

Bills

past action (this ticker) upcoming markup (sector) ★ carveout (this ticker)

250 trading days · 0 congressional trades shown · 0 insider buys · 13 13F filings · 0 past bill actions · 0 upcoming markups

Lifetime Government AwardsAGO federal contracts

AGO doesn't hold direct federal contracts.

Verified via USASpending.gov: $0 reported in direct prime-contract awards. Companies in this position typically sell federal services indirectly through prime contractors and integrators (e.g., Lockheed Martin, Booz Allen, Microsoft Azure) or through commercial channels that don't appear in USASpending data.

Smart Money · 13F HoldingsHedge funds holding AGO

$172.8M

Total AGO held by tracked 13F funds

Funds with AGO positions

Funds opened this quarter

AQR Capital Management $112M +62% 2026-06-30

Two Sigma Investments $19M -55% 2026-06-30

Citadel Advisors $18M +54% 2026-06-30

D.E. Shaw & Co. $14M +36% 2026-06-30

Bridgewater Associates $5M -7% 2026-06-30

Point72 Asset Management $5M opened 2026-06-30

Renaissance Technologies $353K +76% 2026-06-30

Congressional TradesWho in Congress is trading AGO

2022-12-06 Ro Khanna D-California · house sale $1,001 - $15,000

2022-12-06 Ro Khanna D-California · house Sale $1,001 - $15,000

2020-03-29 Ro Khanna D-California · house sale $1,001 - $15,000 206d late

2020-03-29 Ro Khanna D-California · house Sale $1,001 - $15,000 206d late

2019-03-06 Donna Shalala D-Florida · house sale $1,001 - $15,000 418d late

2019-03-06 Donna Shalala D-Florida · house Sale $1,001 - $15,000 418d late

2019-03-25 Van Taylor R-TX · house sale $1,001 - $15,000

2019-03-25 Van Taylor R-TX · house Sale $1,001 - $15,000

8+ trades on file · most recent 2023-01-06

Corporate Insiders · Form 4What CEOs, CFOs, and directors are doing with their own stock

No Form 4 activity recorded in the last 180 days.

Political ProfileWhere AGO sits in Washington

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STRUCTURAL: The company operates in a highly regulated sector (Regulatory Density Score: 85) but shows zero structural political engagement via lobbying (`get_political_influence.lobbying.total_income`: $0) or donations. EVIDENTIARY: No evidentiary signals from corporate insider buys (`get_corporate_insider_signal.total_buys`: 0), congressional trades (`Top congressional traders` array empty), or federal contracts (`get_government_precedent.federal_contracts_summary`: null). Net: Complete absence of direct political footprint against a backdrop of high regulatory exposure creates an ambiguous, neutral signal.

Regulatory ExposureThreats & opportunities

Regulatory threats

Heightened capital and reserve requirements for bond insurers post-financial crisis.

State Insurance Departments (e.g., NYDFS), NAIC

"Inferred from sector classification and regulatory density score; no specific bill impacts in `Recent bill_impacts`."
Potential federal oversight or rulemaking affecting municipal bond markets.

SEC, Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board (MSRB)

"Inferred from sector; `Recent bill_impacts` array is empty."

Regulatory opportunities

Federal infrastructure spending bills that increase municipal bond issuance volume.

Congress, U.S. Department of Transportation

"Inferred from business model; `Recent bill_carveouts` array is empty."

Member intelligence layer

Live signals + predictions for AGO — for Founders

The free page above gives you the public record. Members see the real-time intelligence layer on top of it:

Live 7-layer signal scores when Congress trades AGO
Bill Pass Index v2 odds for every bill on the watch list
Iron Triangle alerts (committee × donor × trade)
SEC Form 4 cluster detection (CEO + CFO + director buys)
Whale-Opportunity expected-value ranking
Custom watchlist alerts via email + Discord

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Frequently AskedAbout AGO & political exposure

Does Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) hold federal contracts?

No direct prime contracts reported in USASpending.gov for Assured Guaranty Ltd.. Companies in the semiconductor and AI hardware sectors often sell to the federal government via prime contractors and cloud resellers (Microsoft Azure, AWS, Lockheed Martin systems integration) rather than as direct primes.

Has Congress traded AGO stock?

8 congressional trades by 3 unique members of Congress, most recently on 2022-12-06. See the Congressional Trading panel for politician-by-politician breakdown.

What is AGO political risk profile?

Government dependence: 0/100. Lobbying intensity: 0/100. Political signal: neutral. Donor party split: R 0% / D 0%.

How does GovGreed track AGO political activity?

GovGreed integrates STOCK Act congressional trade disclosures, FEC contributions, OGE executive-branch disclosures, USASpending federal contracts, Senate LDA lobbying filings, and SEC Form 4 corporate insider trades into a single queryable graph. AGO data is updated daily from these official federal sources.