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Peter Welch

Peter Welch

Democrat · Vermont · Senator
Democratic Senator from Vermont serving on Finance, Agriculture, Judiciary, and Rules committees with 102 trades totaling $3.79M over 5 years.
Trades 5y
204
Volume 5y
$2.2M
Bills sponsored
52
Bills enacted

Corruption Risk · 4-Vector Breakdown

Corruption isn't just trade-based. Here's the four ways political pressure can flow, scored independently from the public record.

📈 Vector 1 · Personal Enrichment trade-based
The politician is a high-frequency, options-heavy trader with 102 trades, 98% of which are options, and an overall win rate of 26% (get_politician_intelligence.profile.win_rate_overall). Trading volume is $3.79M over 5 years (get_sponsor_profile.profile.trade_volume_5yr_usd). While no sector anomaly meets the ≥10-point divergence on ≥50 trades threshold (PRE-COMPUTED SECTOR ANOMALIES is empty), the energy and telecom sectors show 100% win rates but on low trade counts (8 and 6 trades respectively) (get_politician_intelligence.sector_expertise). The profile is marked by poor performance and momentum-chasing behavior.
Trades 5y204
Volume$2.2M
Late filing
Trader typeActive self-dealer
💵 Vector 2 · Donor Funding money in
PAC funding totals $3.76M over 5 years (get_donor_industry_breakdown.total_pac_direct_usd), led by corporate_other PACs at 28.3% and leadership PACs at 16.9% (get_donor_industry_breakdown.top_industries). Lobbying spend targeting the politician's committees is $15.75M over 5 years (get_lobbying_around_pol.total_lobbying_spend_on_pols_sectors_usd), with top clients in healthcare and agriculture.
PAC raised$3.8M
Individual
Donors646
🏛 Vector 3 · Committee Pressure lobbying around
Moderate capture signal with no single industry dominating; top PAC industries are corporate_other (28.3%), leadership PACs (16.9%), and labor (14.6%) (get_donor_industry_breakdown.top_industries).
finance
Serves on Senate Finance Committee and has 28 trades in finance sector with 0% win rate (get_politician_intelligence.sector_expertise).
↳ committee jurisdiction overlap with trading
healthcare
Top lobbying client HOSPICE COMPASSUS spent $1.72M on healthcare issues (get_lobbying_around_pol.top_lobbying_clients_targeting_pols_committees[0]).
↳ lobbying targeting health subcommittee
Top influence channels
Lobbying targeting their committees HOSPICE COMPASSUS $15.7M
PAC direct corporate_other PACs $3.8M
12 MONTHS PAST · 3 MONTHS FUTURE

Activity timeline · 0 votes (12mo)

110 VOTES/WK JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan '26FebMarAprMayJunJulAug TODAY VOTES 0 TRADES 0 SPONSORED 4 PREDICTIONS 24 BILL PIPELINE 20 Sponsored: S.2333 · Health Records Enhancement Act · MARKUPSponsored: S.71 · Baby Changing on Board Act · INTRODUCEDSponsored: S.599 · DRIVE Act of 2025 · COMMITTEESponsored: S.1327 · Advancing GETs Act of 2025 · COMMITTEE Prediction: MTD ↑ · B · conf 53.9 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: MTD ↑ · B · conf 53.9 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: BA ↑ · B · conf 49.4 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: AVAV ↑ · B · conf 49.4 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: LLY ↑ · B · conf 49.4 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: BA ↑ · B · conf 49.4 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: AVAV ↑ · B · conf 49.4 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: LLY ↑ · B · conf 49.4 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: TSLA ↑ · B · conf 43.95 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: TSLA ↑ · B · conf 43.95 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: GS ↑ · B · conf 43.95 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: GS ↑ · B · conf 43.95 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: PEP ↑ · C · conf 40.12 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: PEP ↑ · C · conf 40.12 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: PKG ↑ · C · conf 39.45 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: LOW ↑ · C · conf 39.45 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: LEN ↑ · C · conf 39.45 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: LOW ↑ · C · conf 39.45 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: LEN ↑ · C · conf 39.45 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: PKG ↑ · C · conf 39.45 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: HY ↑ · C · conf 35.36 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: HY ↑ · C · conf 35.36 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: APD ↑ · C · conf 33.53 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: APD ↑ · C · conf 33.53 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15 HR.301 · REPORTED · GEO ActHR.1588 · REPORTED · Facilitating DIGITAL Applications ActHR.741 · MARKUP · Stronger Engagement for Indian Health Needs Act ofHR.2152 · MARKUP · AI PLAN ActHR.1468 · MARKUP · Protect America’s Innovation and Economic Security · affects: AMAT,ASML,CRWD,INTC,LMT,LRCXHR.2504 · MARKUP · The U.S.-European Nuclear Energy Cooperation Act o · affects: BWXT,CCJ,CEG,LEU,NNE,OKLOHR.204 · MARKUP · ACRES ActS.700 · MARKUP · A bill to require the Secretary of Agriculture to · affects: ADM,BG,CAG,CALM,CF,DEHR.837 · MARKUP · To require the Secretary of Agriculture to convey · affects: ADM,BG,CAG,CALM,CF,DEHR.184 · COMMITTEE · Action Versus No Action ActHR.227 · COMMITTEE · Clergy Act · affects: AXON,CXW,FLIR,GEO,LDOS,LHXS.380 · COMMITTEE · Rural Obstetrics Readiness ActS.1387 · COMMITTEE · National Biotechnology Initiative Act of 2025 · affects: ARWR,BEAM,BNTX,CRSP,EDIT,IONSS.1482 · COMMITTEE · National Nursing Workforce Center Act of 2025HR.210 · COMMITTEE · Dental Care for Veterans Act · affects: CVS,DLHC,ENSG,ENV,HCA,HCSGHR.2196 · COMMITTEE · National Emergency Medical Services Memorial Exten · affects: AXON,CXW,FLIR,GEO,LDOS,LHXHR.1665 · COMMITTEE · DIGITAL Applications Act · affects: AXON,CXW,FLIR,GEO,LDOS,LHXHR.34 · COMMITTEE · LASSO ActS.1055 · COMMITTEE · Indian Health Service Emergency Claims Parity Act · affects: AXON,CXW,FLIR,GEO,LDOS,LHXHR.658 · COMMITTEE · To amend title 38, United States Code, to establis · affects: AXON,CVS,CXW,DLHC,ENSG,ENV
Votes/wk (top band)
with party against party present / unknown
Vote markers (passage only)
yea (with party) nay (with party) against party
Trades
buy sell
Bills sponsored
introduced
Predictions / pipeline
model fire committee bill
🔮 GOVGREED FORECAST · 30-DAY WINDOW

Predicted next trades · 24 active

B MTD ↑ bullish 53.9 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence
B MTD ↑ bullish 53.9 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence
B BA ↑ bullish 49.4 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence
B AVAV ↑ bullish 49.4 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence
B LLY ↑ bullish 49.4 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence

Recent Activity

2021-11-26 IBM Sale $8K 21d
2021-11-26 GE Sale $8K 21d
2021-11-26 UNP sale $33K 21d
2021-11-26 GE sale $8K 21d
2021-11-26 IBM sale $8K 21d
2021-11-26 UNP Sale $33K 21d
2021-11-18 VAIAF Sale $33K 29d
2021-11-18 CERN Sale $8K 29d
2021-11-18 UN Sale $33K 29d
2021-11-18 MITK Sale $8K 29d
📋 COMMITTEE BILL PIPELINE

Bills moving through their committees · 20 active

Each row links a bill in their committee jurisdiction to the public companies its passage would affect — the upstream signal for a future trade.

HR.741 MARKUP 4d ago
Stronger Engagement for Indian Health Needs Act of 2025
HR.2152 MARKUP 5d ago
AI PLAN Act
HR.184 COMMITTEE 6d ago
Action Versus No Action Act
HR.227 COMMITTEE 20d ago immigration border
Clergy Act
HR.1468 MARKUP 53d ago china decoupling
Protect America’s Innovation and Economic Security from CCP Act of 2025
HR.2504 MARKUP 53d ago nuclear energy
The U.S.-European Nuclear Energy Cooperation Act of 2025
S.380 COMMITTEE 60d ago
Rural Obstetrics Readiness Act
S.1387 COMMITTEE 60d ago biotech research
National Biotechnology Initiative Act of 2025
S.1482 COMMITTEE 60d ago
National Nursing Workforce Center Act of 2025
HR.210 COMMITTEE 61d ago veterans
Dental Care for Veterans Act
HR.2196 COMMITTEE 62d ago immigration border
National Emergency Medical Services Memorial Extension Act
HR.1665 COMMITTEE 62d ago immigration border
DIGITAL Applications Act
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Data from STOCK Act disclosures, FEC filings, Senate LDA reports, and Congress.gov · all publicly filed federal records. Multi-vector analysis is GovGreed-original derivation. Not financial advice. Not affiliated with the U.S. Government. [live render]