Corruption Risk · 4-Vector Breakdown
Corruption isn't just trade-based. Here's the four ways political pressure can flow, scored independently from the public record.
Vector 1 · Personal Enrichment trade-based
Welch's disclosed portfolio is overwhelmingly options-based (~98% of activity) and skews heavily toward sales (138 sales vs. 66 purchases across 204 trades), consistent with an advisor- or account-driven strategy rather than personal stock-picking. Performance is weak, with a 26% win rate and -18.2% average excess return. Roughly 47% of trades fall in sectors overlapping his committee jurisdictions.
Trades 5y204
Volume$2.2M
Late filing7.0%
Trader type—
Vector 2 · Donor Funding money in
Broad, low-concentration individual base of roughly 1,300 donors — dominated by retired and self-employed contributors — with the top 10 donors accounting for under 4% of the nearly $2M raised. PAC support is diversified across 220 committees, led by labor unions and the DSCC.
PAC raised—
Individual—
Donors1,300
Grassroots score68/100
Vector 3 · Committee Pressure lobbying around
moderate
unknown sector
unknown sector
12 MONTHS PAST · 3 MONTHS FUTURE
Activity timeline · 0 votes (12mo)
Votes/wk (top band)
with party
against party
present / unknown
Vote markers (passage only)
yea (with party)
nay (with party)
against party
Trades
buy
sell
Bills sponsored
★ introduced
Predictions / pipeline
model fire
committee bill
🔮 GOVGREED FORECAST · 30-DAY WINDOW
Predicted next trades · 24 active
Recent Activity
📋 COMMITTEE BILL PIPELINE
Bills moving through their committees · 9 active
Each row links a bill in their committee jurisdiction to the public companies its passage would affect — the upstream signal for a future trade.
Rural Obstetrics Readiness Act
Action for Dental Health Act
Financial Exploitation Prevention Act of 2025
CREATE AI Act of 2025
Block the Use of Transatlantic Technology in Iranian Made Drones Act
Action Versus No Action Act
Dental Care for Veterans Act
Stronger Engagement for Indian Health Needs Act of 2025
Loading intelligence layer…