Corruption Risk · 4-Vector Breakdown
Corruption isn't just trade-based. Here's the four ways political pressure can flow, scored independently from the public record.
Vector 1 · Personal Enrichment trade-based
Lloyd Smucker's trading activity is defined by a complete absence of purchases and a pattern of portfolio liquidation. All 44 trades over the past five years are sales, with a total volume of $1.36M and an average position size of $30,909 (calculated from total_trades_5yr: 44 and trade_volume_5yr_usd: 1,360,000). The activity shows chronic non-compliance, with a 64% late-filing rate (28 late filings out of 44) and an average disclosure gap of 88.4 days (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.trade_pattern` and `get_sponsor_profile.profile.late_filing_rate_pct`). No sector win-rate anomalies are present, as the politician's overall trade count is below the 50-trade threshold for anomaly detection (`PRE-COMPUTED SECTOR ANOMALIES` is empty).
Trades 5y51
Volume$1.2M
Late filing—
Trader typeMinimal activity
Vector 2 · Donor Funding money in
PAC contributions total $18.0M over five years, with the top industry being 'corporate_other' at 35.0% of total PAC dollars (`get_donor_industry_breakdown.top_industries[0]`). Key supporting industries include trade associations (8.6%), leadership PACs (8.5%), healthcare (5.9%), and energy (5.7%). Individual contributions total $3.5M, with the largest donor categories being 'other' (596 donors), 'unspecified' (279), and 'self_employed_or_unemployed' (214) (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.top_donor_industries`).
PAC raised$18.0M
Individual—
Vector 3 · Committee Pressure lobbying around
Healthcare industry capture is evident via $11.4M in lobbying targeting his committees, with top client HOSPICE COMPASSUS spending $1.7M (`get_lobbying_around_pol.total_lobbying_spend_on_pols_sectors_usd` and `.top_lobbying_clients_targeting_pols_committees[0]`).
healthcare
$11.4M total lobbying spend on his committee sectors, with top client HOSPICE COMPASSUS at $1.7M (`get_lobbying_around_pol`)
↳ lobbying targeting committee jurisdiction
real_estate/finance
Donor base tightly concentrated among Lancaster County real estate managers and business owners (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.donor_base`)
↳ donor base concentration
Top influence channels
PAC direct contributions
corporate_other PACs
$18.0M
Lobbying targeting their committees
HOSPICE COMPASSUS
$11.4M
12 MONTHS PAST · 3 MONTHS FUTURE
Activity timeline · 29 votes (12mo) · 28 on passage · 100% with party on passage votes
Votes/wk (top band)
with party
against party
present / unknown
Vote markers (passage only)
yea (with party)
nay (with party)
against party
Trades
buy
sell
Bills sponsored
★ introduced
Predictions / pipeline
model fire
committee bill
🔮 GOVGREED FORECAST · 30-DAY WINDOW
Predicted next trades · 25 active
Recent Activity
📋 COMMITTEE BILL PIPELINE
Bills moving through their committees · 10 active
Each row links a bill in their committee jurisdiction to the public companies its passage would affect — the upstream signal for a future trade.
Stronger Engagement for Indian Health Needs Act of 2025
Action Versus No Action Act
National Nursing Workforce Center Act of 2025
Dental Care for Veterans Act
National Emergency Medical Services Memorial Extension Act
ACRES Act
LASSO Act
Indian Health Service Emergency Claims Parity Act
To amend title 38, United States Code, to establish qualifications for the appointment of a person as a marriage and family therapist, qualified to provide clinical supervision, in the Veterans Health Administration.
Voting Pattern
Over the last 75 votes, Smucker voted yea 58 times and nay 8 times, with 100% attendance (`get_voting_record`). Recent high-profile votes include yea on HR.2493 and S.1020, and nay on HR.1689 (`get_voting_record.recent_high_profile_votes`).
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