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Trade Signals

Actionable intelligence from congressional trades, insider filings, and bill momentum — backtested and scored

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Min Score
How Trade Signal Metrics Work
Signal Strength (0-100) Composite score measuring signal conviction. Four components:
Money (30pts) — log-scale of total insider buying Buyers (25pts) — distinct insiders converging on same ticker Freshness (25pts) — how recent the latest buy is Bills (20pts) — number of linked bills in Congress
Tiers: S 75+ · A+ 60+ · A 50+ · B 40+ · C 30+
Filters
Min Insider $Filters by total dollar value of SEC Form 4 insider purchases. Higher thresholds = most conviction-heavy buys.
LookbackTime window for insider buys (30/60/90 days). Shorter = fresh signals, longer = comprehensive.
Min BuyersMinimum distinct insiders buying the same stock. Multiple insiders converging = stronger signal.
Has BillsOnly shows tickers where insider buying coincides with active legislation in Congress.
Table columns
Total BoughtAggregate dollar value of all SEC Form 4 insider purchases in the lookback window.
Live PriceReal-time market price with daily % change from previous close.
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How bills qualify for this page
Bills appear here when they score ≥200 on GovGreed's investability model. The score is a composite of multiple signals that indicate a bill may create tradeable stock opportunities.
Invest Score
How likely this bill creates a tradeable opportunity. Combines bill momentum through Congress, insider buying activity, and overall market impact potential. 65+ Strong · 45-64 Moderate · <45 Weak
Consortium
Number of committee members who own stocks affected by this bill. More members with financial exposure = stronger signal that the bill benefits those stocks. Green border = at least 1 committee member recently bought a related ticker (insider confirmed).
Impact Ratio
Potential stock price impact if this bill passes, relative to market cap. A $50M government contract means 50% to a $100M company but only 0.01% to a $500B company. Higher % = greater potential price movement.
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Period
How backtest signals work: Each row is an SEC insider (corporate executive/director) buy that occurred near a bill moving through Congress. We track the bill driving the trade, the ticker the insider bought, the buy date and price, then measure returns at +7d, +14d, +30d, and current vs. SPY. AHEAD = insider bought before the bill's next action. CONCUR = insider bought around the same time.
When is a signal strong enough to trade? A signal gains conviction when multiple factors align: the insider bought ahead of bill action (not just concurrent), the buy value is large ($500K+), the bill has a high investability score (65+), and the stock shows positive alpha vs SPY across multiple time horizons. Win Rate above 60% and positive Avg Alpha indicate the strategy is generating real edge over the market.
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