For hedge fund desks, wealth managers, policy research teams, and newsrooms. We deliver the BPI as a structured data feed with daily snapshots, a backtest harness, historical archive, and optional whitelabel. Calibrated against 37,132 bills with known outcomes. AUC 0.74.
Sourced from approved direct connections to federal data systems (SEC, Federal Reserve, Congress.gov, FEC) + licensed private market-data feeds + proprietary ML enrichment. Every input is auditable at the source. Full methodology: /methodology.html.
Calibrated pass-probability score (0–100) for every active US congressional bill. Refreshed daily against GovTrack state + timeline data. JSON + CSV.
Every day's predictions, retained indefinitely. Run your own backtests against our historical scores. Useful for compliance, research, and audit trails.
Ranked feed of bill–ticker pairs by Expected Value = P(pass) × estimated revenue impact × market-cap leverage × confidence. Surfaces asymmetric small-cap opportunities.
Upcoming markups pre-joined to affected tickers and current pass probabilities. Positioning window: 14–45 days before floor votes.
For any bill, get the full per-factor contribution breakdown: base prior, companion bonus, staleness adjustment, final score. No black box.
Branded delivery, custom formats, dedicated support. Enterprise contracts include SLA and named account management.
Legislative catalysts as a forward-looking signal. Policy-risk hedging. Small-cap asymmetric entry timing when a bill hits REPORTED.
Client-facing BPI dashboards. Explainable probabilities for regulated compliance discussions. Per-sector tailwind metrics.
Academic and think-tank access to empirically-calibrated bill outcomes. Historical snapshots for longitudinal studies.
Citable, sourced probabilities for policy-and-markets reporting. Methodology is public; calibration is auditable.
Track bills affecting your sector. Pre-passage positioning on regulatory trajectories. Whitelabel branded for your team.
Structured feed for quant systems. Backtestable historical archive for strategy development. JSON + CSV + streaming options.
Bloomberg Government, FiscalNote, Quorum, and others track bills at the text level. None publish a calibrated bill-passage probability with a backtested accuracy figure.
| Capability | Bloomberg Gov | FiscalNote | Quorum | GovGreed BPI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill text + metadata tracking | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Committee schedule integration | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Bill-to-ticker impact mapping | partial | ✗ | ✗ | ✓ (908K rows) |
| Calibrated passage probability | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | AUC 0.74 |
| Published empirical methodology | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✓ Live |
| Daily snapshot archive | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | Since 2026-04-17 |
| Explainability per bill | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | Factor breakdown API |
| Whale EV ranking | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✓ Proprietary |
Based on publicly available product descriptions. Reach out if you spot an inaccuracy and we'll correct it.
Pricing is custom based on use case, volume, and redistribution rights. Typical engagements include a trial window with full historical access. We're selective about early institutional partners — we want serious desks willing to provide feedback while we harden the product.
Request Access · team@mmamodel.aiOwner: IPS Innovative Platform Solutions. Bill Pass Index is for informational purposes. Not financial advice.