Corruption Risk · 4-Vector Breakdown
Corruption isn't just trade-based. Here's the four ways political pressure can flow, scored independently from the public record.
Vector 1 · Personal Enrichment trade-based
The politician has filed zero trades across all recorded cycles (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.total_trades_5yr`: 0). There is no trading pattern, sector anomaly, or timing data to analyze. The `get_sponsor_profile.profile.trading_style` explicitly states 'inactive' and 'no personal stock activity or complete abstention from individual securities.'
Trades 5y0
Buys / sells0 / 0
Volume 5y—
Late filing—
Trader typeMinimal activity
Narrative from model run 2026-04-30; figures in the stat row are live (deduplicated, 5y).
Vector 2 · Donor Funding money in
Total PAC support over five years is $8.65M (`get_donor_industry_breakdown.total_pac_direct_usd`), with a significant $2.52M raised for his own campaign (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.total_pac_for_usd`). Individual contributions total $3.0M (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.total_indiv_raised_usd`). The funding mix shows a moderate industry capture signal per `get_sponsor_profile.profile.industry_capture_signal`.
Direct PAC$2.1M
Outside $ for$418K
Outside $ against$46K
Cycles4
FEC PAC + independent-expenditure files, all cycles on record, never summed across direction. By cycle and industry →
Vector 3 · Committee Pressure lobbying around
Tribal gaming and energy industries, via PAC donations ($852,845 from energy PACs) and committee jurisdiction, creating a structural capture mechanism (`get_donor_industry_breakdown.top_industries[2]`, `get_sponsor_profile.profile.sector_specializations`).
Tribal Gaming/Energy
$852,845 from energy PACs (`get_donor_industry_breakdown.top_industries[2].amount_usd`) and tribal gaming as top PAC industry (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.top_pac_industries[0]`).
↳ PAC donations influencing committee jurisdiction
Top influence channels
Lobbying Targeting Committees
HOSPICE COMPASSUS
$12.9M
PAC Donations
corporate_other industry
$8.6M
Committees3
Carve-outs on traded tickers0
Narrative from model run 2026-04-30. Jurisdiction vs. trades, committee by committee →
Recent Stock Trades
No reported stock trades on record for Jay Obernolte.
🔮 GOVGREED FORECAST · 30-DAY WINDOW
Predicted next trades · 13 active · all →
↓ free sample below · 12 more for Members
Voting Pattern
Voted yea on 61 of 75 recorded votes (81.3%) in the 119th Congress, with 100% attendance (`get_voting_record.yea_count`, `get_voting_record.total_votes`, `get_voting_record.attendance_pct`). Recent high-profile votes include yea on S.1020 and HR.2493, and nay on HR.1689 (`get_voting_record.recent_high_profile_votes`).
Frequently Asked Questions
Does Jay Obernolte trade stocks?
No STOCK Act trade disclosures appear in GovGreed's database for Jay Obernolte. Members must disclose trades over $1,000 within 45 days; a member with no filings either holds no individual stocks, trades through exempt vehicles like broad mutual funds, or has never filed.
How can I track Jay Obernolte's stock trades?
GovGreed ingests House Clerk STOCK Act filings daily and scores each trade against committee assignments, bill activity, and donor patterns. This page updates automatically; GovGreed members get real-time alerts the moment a new Jay Obernolte disclosure lands.
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