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John J. McGuire

John J. McGuire: Stock Trades & Portfolio

Republican · Virginia · Representative
Freshman Republican from Virginia serving on the House Armed Services and Oversight committees, with a low-volume trading profile of 14 lifetime trades totaling ~$210k.
Trade figures: historical_trades_dedup, trades dated 2021-09-14 → 2026-09-14. Congress discloses bands, never exact amounts.

Corruption Risk · 4-Vector Breakdown

Corruption isn't just trade-based. Here's the four ways political pressure can flow, scored independently from the public record.

📈 Vector 1 · Personal Enrichment trade-based
The politician's activity is minimal, with only 14 trades over five years and a total volume of ~$210,000 (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.trade_volume_5yr_usd`). The portfolio is concentrated in large-cap technology, with ServiceNow (NOW) accounting for 4 of the 14 trades (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.trading_style`). Performance is deeply negative, with an average excess return of -12.8% and an overall win rate of 0% (`get_politician_intelligence.profile.win_rate_overall`). No sector-level anomaly exists, as all 17 trades (5y, deduplicated) in technology sector have a 0% win rate (`get_politician_intelligence.sector_expertise[0]`).
Trades 5y23
Buys / sells13 / 10
Volume 5y$184K
Late filing0.0%
Trader typeMinimal activity
Narrative from model run 2026-04-30; figures in the stat row are live (deduplicated, 5y).
💵 Vector 2 · Donor Funding money in
PAC fundraising totals $2.56 million, with the largest share (51.1%) from an 'unknown' industry category (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.total_pac_for_usd`, `get_donor_industry_breakdown.top_industries[0]`). Defense and technology are top PAC industries (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.top_pac_industries`). Lobbying spend targeting his committee jurisdictions totals $4.46 million (`get_lobbying_around_pol.total_lobbying_spend_on_pols_sectors_usd`).
Direct PAC$235K
Outside $ for$2.3M
Outside $ against$2.9M
Cycles2
FEC PAC + independent-expenditure files, all cycles on record, never summed across direction. By cycle and industry →
🏛 Vector 3 · Committee Pressure lobbying around
Defense and technology industries, via committee jurisdiction and lobbying spend of $4.46 million, with a 100% alignment score (`get_lobbying_around_pol.total_lobbying_spend_on_pols_sectors_usd`, `get_sponsor_profile.profile.lobbying_to_committee_alignment_score`).
technology/defense
Personally traded all four lobbying-client tickers amid $4.46M in sector lobbying (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.predicted_corruption_reason`, `get_lobbying_around_pol.total_lobbying_spend_on_pols_sectors_usd`).
↳ committee jurisdiction trading
Top influence channels
Lobbying in committee jurisdiction AMERICAN LEGION $4.5M
PAC funding unknown industry PACs $2.6M
Committees2
Carve-outs on traded tickers0
Narrative from model run 2026-04-30. Jurisdiction vs. trades, committee by committee →

Recent Stock Trades · 5 oldest visible · 5 most recent 🔒 for Members

2026-08-18 NVDA Purchase $8K
2026-08-18 AAPL Sale $8K
2026-08-17 NVDA Purchase $8K
2026-08-17 AAPL Sale (Partial) $8K
2026-07-31 PANW Sale $8K
2026-07-15 AMAT Purchase $8K
2026-07-14 BLK Sale $8K
2026-07-10 BLK Sale $8K
2026-07-07 BLK Sale $8K
2026-06-04 DELL Sale $8K
All 23 disclosed trades →
🔮 GOVGREED FORECAST · 30-DAY WINDOW

Predicted next trades · 13 active · all →

↓ free sample below · 12 more for Members
B PLTR ↑ bullish 51.6 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence HR.2426 · Veterans Mental Health and Addiction Therapy Quality of Care Act · scored 2026-09-12
B BA ↑ bullish 51.6 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence HR.2426 · Veterans Mental Health and Addiction Therapy Quality of Care Act · scored 2026-09-12
B MRK ↑ bullish 47.1 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence HR.2426 · Veterans Mental Health and Addiction Therapy Quality of Care Act · scored 2026-09-12
B LLY ↑ bullish 47.1 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence HR.2426 · Veterans Mental Health and Addiction Therapy Quality of Care Act · scored 2026-09-12
B AEIS ↑ bullish 45.2 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence HR.109 · TEAM Veteran Caregivers Act · scored 2026-09-12

Voting Pattern

Voting attendance is 100% on 75 recorded votes, with a yea rate of 72% (54 yea, 12 nay) (`get_voting_record`). Recent high-profile votes show a pattern of 'not voting' on suspension motions (`get_voting_record.recent_high_profile_votes`).

Frequently Asked Questions

How many stock trades has John J. McGuire made?

John J. McGuire (R-VA) has 23 deduplicated STOCK Act disclosures over the last five years, totaling $184K in disclosed trading volume at band midpoints. Congress discloses dollar bands, never exact amounts. The trade-by-trade record on this page updates daily from House Clerk and Senate eFD filings.

Does John J. McGuire trade stocks?

Yes — the public record shows 23 STOCK Act filings in the last five years. Whether any specific trade relates to committee work is a separate question: GovGreed cross-references each filing against committee assignments, bill activity, and donor records, and reports the overlaps without alleging wrongdoing.

Has John J. McGuire filed STOCK Act disclosures late?

John J. McGuire's late-filing rate over the last five years is 0.0% of disclosures filed past the STOCK Act's 45-day deadline. Across all of Congress, 12.1% of deduplicated filings arrive late, and the median filing takes 28 days. The statutory penalty for a late filing is $200.

How can I track John J. McGuire's stock trades?

GovGreed ingests House Clerk STOCK Act filings daily and scores each trade against committee assignments, bill activity, and donor patterns. This page updates automatically; GovGreed members get real-time alerts the moment a new John J. McGuire disclosure lands.

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Data from STOCK Act disclosures, FEC filings, Senate LDA reports, Personal Financial Disclosures and Congress.gov · all publicly filed federal records. Multi-vector analysis is GovGreed-original derivation. Not financial advice. Not affiliated with the U.S. Government. [live render · overview]