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Jefferson Shreve

Jefferson Shreve

Republican · Indiana · Representative
Jefferson Shreve (R-Indiana, House) is a first-term member on the Foreign Affairs and Transportation & Infrastructure committees, with a massive $185M in 5-year trade volume across 561 trades.
Trades 5y
1,120
Volume 5y
$128.8M
Bills sponsored
15
Bills enacted

Corruption Risk · 4-Vector Breakdown

Corruption isn't just trade-based. Here's the four ways political pressure can flow, scored independently from the public record.

📈 Vector 1 · Personal Enrichment trade-based
The politician's trading is defined by a high-frequency, broad diversification across 150 tickers, but is anchored by a significant performance anomaly in technology and finance. The technology sector win rate of 65.4% (`sector_expertise[0].win_rate`) diverges +19.4 points from the overall 46% win rate (`profile.win_rate_overall`) on 284 trades, the largest volume anomaly. A similar +18.4 point divergence exists in finance on 132 trades. This suggests a core competency or informational edge in these high-volume sectors, despite a spray-and-pray style that yields a low 46% overall win rate and modest 2.6% average excess return (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.trading_style`). The pattern is consistent with a wealthy individual deploying substantial personal capital—with a largest single trade of $25M (`profile.largest_position`)—across a market basket, yet achieving concentrated outperformance in specific, heavily traded areas.
Trades 5y1,120
Volume$128.8M
Late filing
Trader typeActive self-dealer
💵 Vector 2 · Donor Funding money in
PAC funding dominates at $1.49M over five years (`get_donor_industry_breakdown.total_pac_direct_usd`), led by corporate other (30.1%), leadership PACs (15.8%), and trade associations (9.7%). Individual fundraising is minimal at $187K (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.total_indiv_raised_usd`). The top PAC industries—engineering, defense, healthcare, real estate, and finance (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.top_pac_industries`)—show only a 38% alignment with committee jurisdictions (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.donor_to_committee_alignment_score`), indicating fundraising is not tightly focused on assigned policy areas.
PAC raised$1.5M
Individual
Donors116
🏛 Vector 3 · Committee Pressure lobbying around
Moderate capture signal in defense and infrastructure industries, driven by $6.5M in targeted lobbying and committee jurisdiction, though diluted by a diversified trading portfolio (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.industry_capture_signal`, `get_lobbying_around_pol.total_lobbying_spend_on_pols_sectors_usd`).
defense
$6.5M total lobbying targets Foreign Affairs & Transportation committees, while the politician holds a 100% win rate on 6 defense sector trades (`get_lobbying_around_pol.total_lobbying_spend_on_pols_sectors_usd`, `sector_expertise[17]`).
↳ lobbying_jurisdiction
technology
Technology sector win rate of 65.4% (+19.4 pts above overall) on 284 trades, the largest volume anomaly, suggesting non-public edge (`PRE-COMPUTED SECTOR ANOMALIES[0]`).
↳ informed_outperformance
Top influence channels
Lobbying targeting their committees AMERICAN LEGION $6.5M
pac funding corporate_other PACs $1.5M
12 MONTHS PAST · 3 MONTHS FUTURE

Activity timeline · 29 votes (12mo) · 28 on passage · 100% with party on passage votes

740 VOTES/WK Week of 2026-04-20 · 3 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 3 present) Week of 2026-04-13 · 1 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 1 present) Week of 2026-02-09 · 2 votes (2 with party · 0 against · 0 present) Week of 2026-02-02 · 1 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 1 present) Week of 2025-12-15 · 7 votes (2 with party · 0 against · 5 present) Week of 2025-12-08 · 3 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 3 present) Week of 2025-12-01 · 1 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 1 present) Week of 2025-11-17 · 3 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 3 present) Week of 2025-07-14 · 2 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 2 present) Week of 2025-06-23 · 1 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 1 present) Week of 2025-06-09 · 1 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 1 present) Week of 2025-06-02 · 1 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 1 present) Week of 2025-05-19 · 3 votes (0 with party · 0 against · 3 present) JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan '26FebMarAprMayJunJulAug TODAY VOTES 24 TRADES 4 SPONSORED 9 PREDICTIONS 25 BILL PIPELINE 21 HR.2493 · YEA · · 2026-04-21 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassS.1020 · YEA · · 2026-04-21 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.1681 · YEA · · 2026-04-20 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.1689 · NAY · · 2026-04-16 · On PassageHR.261 · YEA · with party · 2026-02-11 · On PassageHR.980 · YEA · · 2026-02-02 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.498 · NOT_VOTING · · 2025-12-18 · On PassageHR.845 · YEA · · 2025-12-18 · On PassageHR.1366 · YEA · · 2025-12-18 · On PassageS.284 · YEA · with party · 2025-12-15 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassS.1071 · YEA · · 2025-12-10 · On PassageS.356 · YEA · · 2025-12-09 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.1005 · YEA · · 2025-12-03 · On PassageHR.1949 · YEA · · 2025-11-20 · On PassageHR.2659 · YEA · · 2025-11-17 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.1608 · YEA · · 2025-11-17 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as AmendeHR.1709 · YEA · · 2025-07-14 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.1770 · YEA · · 2025-07-14 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and PassHR.875 · YEA · · 2025-06-26 · On PassageHR.884 · YEA · · 2025-06-10 · On PassageHR.2483 · NOT_VOTING · · 2025-06-04 · On PassageSJRES.31 · YEA · · 2025-05-22 · On PassageSJRES.13 · YEA · · 2025-05-20 · On PassageHR.1286 · YEA · · 2025-05-19 · On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass, as Amende Purchase JPM · 2025-12-30 · $17.5MPurchase PUK · 2025-12-29 · $17.5MPurchase PRU · 2025-12-29 · $17.5MPurchase BMO · 2025-11-13 · $17.5M Sponsored: HR.7003 · BIS STRENGTH Act · REPORTEDSponsored: HR.1501 · Protecting Domestic Mining Act of 2025 · MARKUPSponsored: HR.7633 · American Assistance Visibility Act · MARKUPSponsored: HR.5490 · Dismantle Foreign Scam Syndicates Act · MARKUPSponsored: HR.8635 · VERIFY Act of 2026 · COMMITTEESponsored: HR.8527 · Rural Animal Shelter Investment Act · COMMITTEESponsored: HR.7236 · In Good Standing Adoption Agencies Act of 2026 · COMMITTEESponsored: HR.7121 · Securing Federal Devices from Chinese Applications Act · COMMITTEESponsored: HRES.931 · Expressing support for the designation of December 4, 2025, · COMMITTEE Prediction: UBER ↑ · A · conf 58.83 · Signal Intelligence · 2026-05-12Prediction: AVAV ↑ · B · conf 53.3 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: AVAV ↑ · B · conf 53.3 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: BA ↑ · B · conf 53.3 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: BA ↑ · B · conf 53.3 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: HY ↑ · B · conf 48.95 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: HY ↑ · B · conf 48.95 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: LLY ↑ · B · conf 48.8 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: TMO ↑ · B · conf 48.8 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: TMO ↑ · B · conf 48.8 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: LLY ↑ · B · conf 48.8 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: GE ↑ · B · conf 45.94 · Signal Intelligence · 2026-05-12Prediction: CAT ↑ · B · conf 44.45 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: CAT ↑ · B · conf 44.45 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: PKG ↑ · B · conf 44.02 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: PKG ↑ · B · conf 44.02 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: C ↑ · B · conf 42.41 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: C ↑ · B · conf 42.41 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: LLY ↑ · B · conf 41.42 · Signal Intelligence · 2026-05-12Prediction: AWK ↑ · C · conf 40.9 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-13Prediction: ULTA ↑ · C · conf 39.52 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: MELI ↑ · C · conf 39.52 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: ULTA ↑ · C · conf 39.52 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16Prediction: DHI ↑ · C · conf 39.52 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-15Prediction: DHI ↑ · C · conf 39.52 · Bill Correlation Intelligence · 2026-05-16 HR.301 · REPORTED · GEO ActHR.2283 · MARKUP · Recognizing Community Organizations for Veteran EnHR.2504 · MARKUP · The U.S.-European Nuclear Energy Cooperation Act o · affects: BWXT,CCJ,CEG,LEU,NNE,OKLOHR.1744 · MARKUP · United States Commission on International Religiou · affects: BAH,LDOS,LHX,LMT,NOC,PLTRS.1116 · MARKUP · Ensuring Veterans’ Final Resting Place Act of 2025 · affects: CVS,DLHC,ENSG,ENV,HCA,HCSGS.342 · MARKUP · Purple Heart Veterans Education Act of 2025 · affects: CVS,DLHC,ENSG,ENV,HCA,HCSGHR.204 · MARKUP · ACRES ActS.933 · MARKUP · NASA Transition Authorization Act of 2025HR.2148 · MARKUP · Veteran Caregiver Reeducation, Reemployment, and R · affects: AXON,CXW,FLIR,GEO,LDOS,LHXS.1321 · MARKUP · Moab UMTRA Project Transition Act of 2025S.91 · MARKUP · Western Wildfire Support Act of 2025HR.2853 · COMMITTEE · Combating Organized Retail Crime Act of 2025 · affects: AXON,CXW,FLIR,GEO,LDOS,LHXS.749 · COMMITTEE · Justice for ALS Veterans Act of 2025 · affects: AXON,CVS,CXW,DLHC,ENSG,ENVHR.1391 · COMMITTEE · Student Veteran Benefit Restoration Act of 2025HR.210 · COMMITTEE · Dental Care for Veterans Act · affects: CVS,DLHC,ENSG,ENV,HCA,HCSGHR.2303 · COMMITTEE · Board of Veterans’ Appeals Attorney Retention and · affects: CVS,DLHC,ENSG,ENV,HCA,HCSGHR.1685 · COMMITTEE · Justice for ALS Veterans Act of 2025 · affects: AXON,CVS,CXW,DLHC,ENSG,ENVHR.658 · COMMITTEE · To amend title 38, United States Code, to establis · affects: AXON,CVS,CXW,DLHC,ENSG,ENVHR.980 · COMMITTEE · Veterans Readiness and Employment Improvement Act · affects: AXON,CVS,CXW,DLHC,ENSG,ENVHR.659 · COMMITTEE · Veterans Law Judge Experience Act of 2025 · affects: AXON,CVS,CXW,DLHC,ENSG,ENVHR.2878 · COMMITTEE · Daniel J. Harvey, Jr. and Adam Lambert Improving S · affects: AXON,CXW,FLIR,GEO,LDOS,LHX
Votes/wk (top band)
with party against party present / unknown
Vote markers (passage only)
yea (with party) nay (with party) against party
Trades
buy sell
Bills sponsored
introduced
Predictions / pipeline
model fire committee bill
🔮 GOVGREED FORECAST · 30-DAY WINDOW

Predicted next trades · 25 active

A UBER ↑ neutral 58.8 conf Signal Intelligence UNUSUAL_SIZELOBBYING_INFLUENCEVOLUME_SPIKEOVERBOUGHT
B AVAV ↑ bullish 53.3 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence
B AVAV ↑ bullish 53.3 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence
B BA ↑ bullish 53.3 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence
B BA ↑ bullish 53.3 conf Bill Correlation Intelligence

Recent Activity

2025-12-30 JPM Purchase $17.5M
2025-12-29 PUK Purchase $17.5M
2025-12-29 PRU Purchase $17.5M
2025-11-13 BMO Purchase $17.5M
2025-05-12 LNG sale $33K 41d
2025-05-12 CRWD Sale $33K 41d
2025-05-12 PEP sale $33K 41d
2025-05-12 SBAC Sale $75K 41d
2025-05-12 ADP Sale $75K 41d
2025-05-12 MTCH Sale $33K 41d
📋 COMMITTEE BILL PIPELINE

Bills moving through their committees · 21 active

Each row links a bill in their committee jurisdiction to the public companies its passage would affect — the upstream signal for a future trade.

HR.2283 MARKUP 4d ago
Recognizing Community Organizations for Veteran Engagement and Recovery Act
HR.2853 COMMITTEE 5d ago immigration border
Combating Organized Retail Crime Act of 2025
S.749 COMMITTEE 19d ago immigration border
Justice for ALS Veterans Act of 2025
HR.2504 MARKUP 53d ago nuclear energy
The U.S.-European Nuclear Energy Cooperation Act of 2025
HR.1744 MARKUP 53d ago foreign policy ngo
United States Commission on International Religious Freedom Reauthorization Act of 2025
S.1116 MARKUP 61d ago veterans
Ensuring Veterans’ Final Resting Place Act of 2025
S.342 MARKUP 61d ago veterans
Purple Heart Veterans Education Act of 2025
HR.1391 COMMITTEE 61d ago
Student Veteran Benefit Restoration Act of 2025
HR.210 COMMITTEE 61d ago veterans
Dental Care for Veterans Act
HR.2303 COMMITTEE 61d ago veterans
Board of Veterans’ Appeals Attorney Retention and Backlog Reduction Act
HR.301 REPORTED 74d ago
GEO Act
HR.204 MARKUP 75d ago
ACRES Act

Voting Pattern

Voting attendance is 100% (`get_voting_record.attendance_pct`) with a strong party-line tendency, voting yea on 59 of 75 recorded votes. Recent high-profile votes include supporting the passage of HR.261 and S.1020, while opposing a motion to recommit on HR.261 and the passage of HR.1689 (`get_voting_record.recent_high_profile_votes`).
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Data from STOCK Act disclosures, FEC filings, Senate LDA reports, and Congress.gov · all publicly filed federal records. Multi-vector analysis is GovGreed-original derivation. Not financial advice. Not affiliated with the U.S. Government. [live render]