Corruption Risk · 4-Vector Breakdown
Corruption isn't just trade-based. Here's the four ways political pressure can flow, scored independently from the public record.
Vector 1 · Personal Enrichment trade-based
The portfolio shows a major sector anomaly: a 68.8% win rate on 73 technology trades, 23.8 points above the overall 45% win rate (`get_politician_intelligence.sector_expertise[0]`). This high-frequency, concentrated trading style (`get_politician_intelligence.profile.trading_styles`) focuses on a narrow basket of 12 tickers, with mega-cap tech (AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL) dominating 58.6% of volume (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.trade_pattern`). Despite committee access to defense intelligence, the portfolio underperforms benchmarks with an average excess return of -11% (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.trade_pattern`).
Trades 5y219
Volume$1.8M
Late filing—
Trader typeActive self-dealer
Vector 2 · Donor Funding money in
PAC funding is dominated by labor unions (23.9% of $8.33M total) and defense contractors (13.0%), led by Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman (`get_donor_industry_breakdown.top_industries`). Individual donors are concentrated in Massachusetts business and legal circles, with minimal tech industry representation (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.donor_base`). Lobbying alignment is total, with 100% of $1.34M in lobbying spend matching his committee jurisdictions (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.lobbying_to_committee_alignment_score`).
PAC raised$8.3M
Individual—
Vector 3 · Committee Pressure lobbying around
Defense industry capture via PAC contributions totaling $1.08M (13.0% of total) and 100% jurisdictional lobbying alignment, mechanism is funding for Armed Services committee access (`get_donor_industry_breakdown.top_industries[2]`, `get_sponsor_profile.profile.lobbying_to_committee_alignment_score`).
technology
100% lobbying alignment score and $1.34M in lobbying spend (`get_sponsor_profile.profile.lobbying_to_committee_alignment_score`, `get_sponsor_profile.profile.total_lobbying_spend_5yr_usd`)
↳ personal stock trading (GOOGL, AMZN, MSFT) overlapping with corporate lobbying
defense
$1.08M from defense PACs, 13.0% of total (`get_donor_industry_breakdown.top_industries[2]`)
↳ PAC funding from contractors while serving on Armed Services
Top influence channels
PAC Funding
Labor Unions
$8.3M
Committee Jurisdiction Trading
Personal Portfolio
$3.2M
Lobbying Spend
Defense/Aerospace Clients
$1.3M
12 MONTHS PAST · 3 MONTHS FUTURE
Activity timeline · 357 votes (12mo) · 200 on passage · 95% with party on passage votes · 1 against
Votes/wk (top band)
with party
against party
present / unknown
Vote markers (passage only)
yea (with party)
nay (with party)
against party
Trades
buy
sell
Bills sponsored
★ introduced
Predictions / pipeline
model fire
committee bill
🔮 GOVGREED FORECAST · 30-DAY WINDOW
Predicted next trades · 25 active
Recent Activity
📋 COMMITTEE BILL PIPELINE
Bills moving through their committees · 11 active
Each row links a bill in their committee jurisdiction to the public companies its passage would affect — the upstream signal for a future trade.
CREATE AI Act of 2025
United States Commission on International Religious Freedom Reauthorization Act of 2026
Block the Use of Transatlantic Technology in Iranian Made Drones Act
Deport Alien Gang Members Act
Veterans 2nd Amendment Protection Act
Student Veteran Benefit Restoration Act of 2025
Board of Veterans’ Appeals Attorney Retention and Backlog Reduction Act
Dental Care for Veterans Act
Recognizing Community Organizations for Veteran Engagement and Recovery Act
Combating Organized Retail Crime Act of 2025
Voting Pattern
Voting attendance is 100% on 75 recent votes, with a near-even split of 37 nay and 33 yea votes, indicating active participation without a strong partisan lean in the sampled period (`get_voting_record`). Recent high-profile votes include support for HR.1689 and opposition to HR.261 (`get_voting_record.recent_high_profile_votes`).
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